Currencies

Dollar Dominance Tracker | Reuters


The U.S. dollar, long renowned for its strength, has been weakened by President Donald Trump’s stiff tariffs, his attacks on the Federal Reserve and his distancing from allies and global institutions.

The dollar index, which measures the value of the greenback against a basket of major world currencies suffered its worst first half of the year since the early 1970s.

This live dashboard continually tracks the dollar’s performance, taking stock of its current standing and charting where it may be headed next.

The Trump Effect

After an initial bump following Trump’s presidential election win in November 2024, the dollar has been on a general downward trend, a sign that global investors are starting to question the concept of U.S. exceptionalism.

But the dollar isn’t the only currency on the move since Trump rattled global markets by slapping tariffs on trading partners around the globe.

Long-Term View

While the dollar has weakened this year, it remains strong on a long-term basis. While down this year, the dollar index is up 4% over a five-year period, and almost 10% higher over 20 years.

Expert Outlook

Reuters polls a panel of foreign exchange strategists each month on their predictions for the world’s currencies. Their latest view of what’s ahead is plotted above.

Foreign exchange reserves

Central bank reserves are being watched closely for any signs of countries shifting away from the dollar.

The dollar’s share of FX reserves has nudged lower in recent years and currencies such as the euro and yuan are seen as main beneficiaries of the dollar’s woes.

However, the dollar is not expected to lose its position as the world’s top reserve currency anytime soon, given the United States’ dominance in the global economy, trade, and debt markets. Recent shifts have been too small to make a significant dent in the dollar’s overall position.

Gold, not represented on this chart, has also seen its share in central bank reserves grow significantly.

Foreign investment

The value of U.S. assets held by foreign investors far has outweighed the assets U.S. investors hold overseas thanks to a long run-up of outside investment that built up the strength of U.S. currency. If the flow of foreign investment were to slow, it could weigh down the dollar.

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Reporting, writing and development by Grant Smith. Editing by Karin Strohecker, Dhara Ranasinghe and Ben Welsh.

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