Stock Market Live July 10: Strong Delta Earnings Fail to Help S&P 500 (VOO) Lift Off

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Published: July 10, 2025 9:05 am

Last Updated: July 10, 2025 4:13 pm

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4:13 pm

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF closed at 575.20 on Thursday, up 0.3%, and just $0.02 shy of its previous record closing price.

12:58 pm

Multiple companies announced plans to expand access to artificial intelligence services on-device yesterday, with Google for example saying it will start rolling out Gemini access on Wear OS-powered smartwatches immediately. Today, Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) is getting in on the game, with Elon Musk posting on X that xAI’s generative AI chatbot Grok will soon be integrated into Tesla electric vehicles, “next week at the latest.”

11:22 am

Airline peers are reacting positively to Delta’s earnings beat this morning, and the company’s increased confidence in its ability to keep earning a profit this year. As we approach the noonday mark, United Airlines (Nasdaq: UAL) stock is up 12.5%, about the same as Delta, and American Airlines (Nasdaq: AAL) is only a little behind, up 12%.

The Voo is now solidly higher, up 0.2%.

9:47 am

Delta stock remains up nearly 11% in the first few minutes of trading today, and guidance is a big part of the reason why. Management forecast Delta will earn $5.25 to $6.25 this year. Admittedly, these are adjusted, not GAAP earnings. But prior to earnings day, analysts had forecast Delta might earn only $5.39 per share in adjusted profit this year.

This number falls towards the low end of Delta’s new guidance, meaning it’s more likely Delta will earn more — and potentially, a whole lot more.

The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) came within inches of its all-time high yesterday, closing at 573.61. As trading prepares to open Thursday, however, investors are looking to pull back a bit, and the ETF is falling modestly, down 0.1%.

Tariff worries continue to weigh on markets, with the President announcing a new 50% tariff on imported copper yesterday, and a separate 50% tariff on goods imported from Brazil. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva promised to respond in kind, raising tariffs on U.S. exports to Brazil if the U.S. tariff is implemented. In addition to Brazil, the President has sent letters warning of imminent tariff hikes to nearly two dozen other countries over the last couple days.

Fears that higher tariffs will raise inflation rates in the U.S. continue to keep the Federal Reserve off balance, and uncertain about whether it will be able to cut interest rates this year.

Earnings

Not all the news is bad, however. S&P 500 component company Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) announced strong Q2 adjusted earnings this morning, with $2.10 per share earned, about a nickel more than expected, and revenue also a bit higher than expected. Delta also reinstated earnings guidance, saying it expects to earn between $1.25 and $1.75 in its fiscal third quarter, and between $5.25 and $6.25 a share for the year.

Shares of the airline stock are up more than 12%.

Analyst Calls

Defense contractor and S&P 500 component company Huntington Ingalls (NYSE: HII) won an upgrade to buy from TD Cowen this morning, which set the military shipbuilder’s target price at $300 a share. “Eventual margin upside Is sizable,” predicted the banker, noting that the 5.2% operating margin Huntington Ingalls currently earns is just half of management’s target.

Cowen agrees it’s “plausible” the company could double its profits from here.

Separately, KeyBanc analyst Justin Patterson upgraded Roku (Nasdaq: ROKU) stock to overweight with a $115 price target. “Roku is benefiting from a combination of secular drivers, monetization initiatives, and an expense ‘self-help’ story [that will] drive faster EBITDA growth,” said the analyst.