Finance

The Bull Case For Coinbase Global (COIN) Could Change Following Token-Backed Mortgages And Canadian Derivatives Launch


  • In August 2026, Better Home & Finance Holding Company announced the general availability of its Coinbase-powered, token-backed conforming mortgage product, alongside a 1% closing-cost rebate of up to US$10,000 for Coinbase One members across mortgages, HELOCs, and refinances.

  • At the same time, Coinbase broadened its reach with regulated crypto derivatives for Canadian traders and deeper platform access via Webull, highlighting a push to link digital assets with both traditional housing finance and international derivatives markets.

  • We’ll now examine how Coinbase’s Canadian derivatives launch and broader token-backed mortgage tie-up with Better could reshape its investment narrative.

Find 54 companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Coinbase Global Investment Narrative Recap

To own Coinbase, you have to believe crypto infrastructure will matter beyond pure trading and that Coinbase can convert that role into durable, diversified fees. The Better token-backed mortgage rollout and Canadian derivatives launch both support that story, but they do not change the near term reality that weak trading volumes and ongoing losses remain the key catalyst and the biggest risk to sentiment around the stock.

The Better Home & Finance partnership is the clearest tie to this thesis. By powering token-backed, conforming mortgages and extending a 1% closing cost rebate of up to US$10,000 for Coinbase One members across mortgages, HELOCs, and refinances, Coinbase is testing whether real world finance use cases can offset the pressure from softer spot volumes and cyclical trading activity.

Yet while these new products are exciting, investors should also weigh the risk that prolonged trading weakness and earnings pressure could still…

Read the full narrative on Coinbase Global (it’s free!)

Coinbase Global’s narrative projects $8.5 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.3% yearly revenue growth and a $0.8 billion earnings decrease from $2.9 billion today.

Uncover how Coinbase Global’s forecasts yield a $383.46 fair value, a 119% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart
COIN 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Some of the lowest estimate analysts were already projecting only 4.9% annual revenue growth and US$613.5 million of earnings by 2029, so this kind of news could either soften their concerns about long term trading dependence or reinforce them, depending on whether you think token-backed mortgages and new derivatives markets meaningfully change Coinbase’s earnings mix over time.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Coinbase Global – why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Decide For Yourself

Don’t just follow the ticker – dig into the data and build a conviction that’s truly your own.

  • A great starting point for your Coinbase Global research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward that could impact your investment decision.

  • Our free Coinbase Global research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual – the Snowflake – making it easy to evaluate Coinbase Global’s overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include COIN.

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