Currencies

Emerging Asian stocks rise as Fed hike odds ease, Singapore hits record high


BENGALURU (Sept 4): Most emerging Asia stocks advanced on Friday with Singapore’s benchmark hitting an all-time high, as waning expectations of a near-term US rate increase spurred demand for risk assets, while regional currencies gained ground.

The MSCI gauge of emerging Asia equities gained 1.6% and was headed for its best session in seven days, with tech-heavy South Korea and Taiwan gaining 1.8% and 1.5%, respectively.

Singapore’s Straits Times Index climbed as much as 1.3% to a record 5,820.69 points, led by blue-chip banks. The index was up 1.9% for the week, on course for the steepest rise since early July.

Expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike have moderated ahead of key US inflation data, while the yen’s appreciation has weakened the dollar and helped Asian currencies recover some lost ground, said DBS economist Radhika Rao.

“Risks nonetheless remain two-sided, as any renewed US-Iran kinetic conflict could drive oil prices higher and weigh on Asian assets anew,” Rao said.

Treasuries rallied, and the US dollar index slipped after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said overnight he would favour keeping rates unchanged at September’s policy meeting if upcoming inflation reports reinforce signs of disinflation. 

Futures markets lowered the probability of a rate hike later this month to about 50%, from roughly 63% a day earlier.

The dollar’s retreat following Waller’s comments supported Asian currencies, with the South Korean won leading gains at 0.4%. Taiwan’s dollar rose 0.2%.     

Indonesia’s rupiah advanced 0.1%, though it remains among the worst-performing emerging market currencies this year, down 5.5% so far in 2026.

In the Philippines, stocks climbed as much as 0.4%, reversing early declines after data showed annual inflation slowed for the fourth consecutive month in August. The benchmark, up 2.3%, is headed for its best week since mid-June.

The peso rebounded from a record low hit earlier in the session.

Elsewhere, the Thai baht reversed earlier gains to trade 0.1% lower. The won was up 1.5% for the week, while the Taiwan dollar was on track for its worst week since early July.

Investors now await US nonfarm payrolls data due later in the day for clues on the US rate path, with payrolls likely having rebounded in August as a drag from local government education employment reversed.

Uploaded by Chng Shear Lane



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